Prospective trajectory of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in the regional economy of Russia: forecast until 2030

The article aims to define and scientifically substantiate the prospective trajectory of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in the regional economy of Russia, as well as to support it with a forecast until 2030 and applied recommendations for regulating innovations in the electric power industry in the regions of the Central Federal District (CFD). For this purpose, econometric modeling of innovative activity in the electric power industry in the regions of the Central Federal District of Russia was carried out, which revealed the causeand-effect relationships of innovative development of the fuel and energy complex and the sustainability of the energy economy in domestic regions. Thanks to this, the main strategic benchmark for innovative development of the fuel and energy complex was identified: increasing the share of innovative products, as well as the sources for achieving it: increasing the number of personnel involved in R & D and the costs of innovative activities of organizations. A forecast has been compiled A forecast of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex based on innovations in the electric power industry in the economy of the regions of the Central Federal District of Russia until 2030 has been compiled, demonstrating the possibilities of ensuring more complete energy sufficiency of the regions, and the author’s recommendations have been developed for its practical implementation in each region of the Central Federal District of Russia.

The final conclusion is that the promising trajectory of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex in the regional economy of Russia is associated with the optimization of innovative activities in the electric power industry. The compiled forecast formed strategic guidelines, and the developed applied recommendations for regulating innovations in the electric power industry in the regions of the Central Federal District of Russia specified the tasks of local government in these regions for their entry into the proposed promising trajectory of sustainable development of the fuel and energy complex until 2030. In total, the scientific and practical developments of this article will improve the practice of state regulation of innovative activity in the fuel and energy complex in order to ensure its sustainable development in the regions of Russia. 

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